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The Brexit Referendum — Tumisu via Wikimedia Commons — Union Jack and EU flag, 2016. CC0.
HistoricalElections

The Brexit Referendum

A single-question ballot, a 1.3-million-vote margin, and the start of the UK's exit from the bloc that defined its postwar economy

Also known as Brexit · EU referendum 2016 · Leave vote · UK referendum 2016

WhenJune 23, 2016 – June 24, 2016
WhereUnited Kingdom
Read2 min
Importance92/100
Source confidence99/100

Hero image: Tumisu via Wikimedia Commons — Union Jack and EU flag, 2016. CC0.

In short

On June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom voted 51.89% to 48.11% to leave the European Union. The result triggered the resignation of the prime minister who called it, four years of withdrawal negotiations, the formal exit on January 31, 2020, and a continuing argument inside the UK about what it was actually for.

The five-minute version

What actually happened.

On June 23, 2016, the United Kingdom held its second referendum on European membership in 41 years. The first, in 1975, had endorsed staying by 67%. The second produced the opposite answer by a 3.78-point margin: 17,410,742 votes to leave, 16,141,241 to remain. Turnout was 72.21% — the highest in any UK vote since 1992.

David Cameron, the Conservative prime minister who had promised the referendum in his 2015 election manifesto to settle internal party fights about Europe, had campaigned for Remain. He resigned at 08:18 the next morning. Boris Johnson — who had announced for Leave four months earlier in a Daily Telegraph column, having reportedly written two columns and chosen the more politically rewarding one — had been expected to succeed him; he withdrew within a week after Michael Gove turned on him. Theresa May, who had supported Remain quietly, became Prime Minister on July 13. 'Brexit means Brexit,' she said.

The vote split along recognizable fault lines. Northern Ireland (55.8%) and Scotland (62%) voted Remain decisively. England (53.4% Leave) and Wales (52.5% Leave) carried the result. London (59.9% Remain) and the major university cities voted Remain; the post-industrial Midlands and North voted Leave. Younger voters favored Remain by roughly 2-to-1; voters over 65 favored Leave by roughly 2-to-1. Turnout in safer-Remain seats was lower than in marginal-Leave seats.

The Leave campaign rested on three claims: that EU membership cost the UK £350 million a week (a figure the UK Statistics Authority called 'misleading' before, during, and after the vote), that immigration was uncontrolled, and that the UK could 'take back control' of its laws and borders. The Remain campaign — 'Britain Stronger in Europe' — leaned on Treasury and IMF forecasts of post-exit GDP losses. The Office of National Statistics later estimated GDP was about 5% lower by 2024 than it would have been on the central forecast trajectory had the UK remained.

The withdrawal process took 1,317 days from the vote to the formal exit. May's deal was rejected by Parliament three times. Johnson succeeded her in July 2019, renegotiated the Withdrawal Agreement, called a snap election on December 12, won an 80-seat majority on a 'Get Brexit Done' platform, and signed the deal into law on January 23, 2020. The UK left the EU at 23:00 GMT on January 31, 2020. The transition period ended December 31, 2020. The full economic and political consequences continue to play out.

Timeline

How it actually unfolded.

  1. Cameron promises an in/out referendum

    Bloomberg speech: Cameron pledges to renegotiate EU membership and put the result to a referendum if the Conservatives win the next election.

  2. Conservatives win majority on the referendum pledge

    General election delivers Cameron a 12-seat overall majority. The referendum becomes inevitable.

  3. Cameron announces the referendum date

    Negotiated 'new settlement' with the EU; sets the referendum for June 23.

  4. Boris Johnson declares for Leave

    Then Mayor of London. His Telegraph column reportedly existed in two versions; he chose Leave the day before he announced.

  5. Jo Cox murdered

    Labour MP for Batley and Spen, a Remain campaigner, is shot and stabbed by a far-right attacker shouting 'Britain first.' Campaign paused 3 days.

  6. Polls close at 22:00 BST

    Nigel Farage initially concedes around 22:30 based on private polling. Results from Sunderland (61% Leave) hit at 00:17 — the Leave surge becomes visible.

  7. Result announced

    07:20 BST. Chief Counting Officer Jenny Watson confirms Leave on 51.89%. The pound falls 8% against the dollar before sterling markets open.

  8. Cameron resigns

    08:18 BST. From the Number 10 podium. 'The British people have made a very clear decision to take a different path.'

  9. Theresa May becomes Prime Minister

    After Boris Johnson withdraws (June 30) and Andrea Leadsom drops out (July 11), May is the only candidate.

  10. Article 50 triggered

    May invokes Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union by letter to Donald Tusk. The two-year withdrawal clock starts.

  11. Boris Johnson becomes PM

    After May resigns when her Withdrawal Agreement is rejected three times by Parliament.

  12. Snap election — 'Get Brexit Done'

    Conservatives win an 80-seat majority. Labour loses the 'Red Wall' Leave-voting seats it had held for decades.

  13. UK leaves the EU

    23:00 GMT. The UK becomes the first member state ever to leave the European Union. Transition period runs through December 31, 2020.

By the numbers

The countable parts.

Leave votes

0,742

Remain votes

0,241

Margin

0,501 votes (3.78 pts)

Turnout

0.00% (33,577,342 ballots)

England

0.0% Leave

Scotland

0% Remain

Wales

0.0% Leave

Northern Ireland

0.0% Remain

Formal UK exit

0:00 GMT, January 31, 2020

Media coverage

What the world was reading.

5 pieces, ranked by how much they shaped the discourse.

UKUSFranceGermany

People's voice

What people said, then.

Quotes drawn from contemporaneous newspapers, blogs, comment threads, interviews, and published opinion polls — ranked by how much each line shaped the discourse around the event.

Sentiment mix · 8 voices

  • Grieving25%
  • Predictive25%
  • Dismissive25%
  • Skeptical13%
  • Celebratory13%
Grieving
I will do everything I can as Prime Minister to steady the ship over the coming weeks and months — but I do not think it would be right for me to try to be the captain that steers our country to its next destination.
David Cameron, UK Prime Minister· David Cameron's resignation, 08:18 BST, less than four hours after the result was confirmed. His wife Samantha stood behind him.Jun 24, 2016
  • SkepticalOfficialFeb 2016
    The more the EU does, the less room there is for national decision-making. Sometimes these EU rules sound simply ludicrous, like the rule that you can't recycle a teabag, or that children under eight cannot blow up balloons.
    Boris Johnson, MP and Mayor of LondonBoris Johnson's column declaring for Leave four months before the vote. According to multiple biographers, Johnson wrote two columns — pro-Leave and pro-Remain — and chose the more politically rewarding one.
  • PredictiveOfficialJun 2016
    Scotland sees its future as part of the EU. We are determined to act decisively to protect Scotland's place in Europe. A second independence referendum must now be on the table.
    Nicola Sturgeon, First Minister of ScotlandNicola Sturgeon, First Minister of Scotland, responding hours after Scotland voted 62% Remain and the UK voted Leave.
  • CelebratoryOfficialJun 2016
    Dare to dream that the dawn is breaking on an independent United Kingdom. This will be a victory for ordinary people, for decent people, for real people.
    Nigel Farage, UKIP leaderNigel Farage's victory speech to UKIP supporters. He had spent twenty years arguing for British withdrawal.
  • PredictiveMediaJun 2016
    Sunderland — Leave: 61 percent. Now if that is a pattern, this is going to be a much closer race than anybody thought.
    David Dimbleby, BBC NewsBBC presenter David Dimbleby announcing the first major result — Sunderland's 61% Leave was the moment the Remain campaign realized they would lose.
  • DismissiveOfficialJun 2016
    Out is out. The British voted for Brexit. They have to live with the consequences. We are not going to enter into any kind of secret negotiation.
    Jean-Claude Juncker, President of the European CommissionJean-Claude Juncker's first reaction. The famously-blunt Luxembourger ruled out any informal pre-negotiation.
  • DismissiveOfficialJun 2016
    I think the people of this country have had enough of experts from organizations with acronyms saying that they know what is best and getting it consistently wrong.
    Michael Gove, Justice SecretaryMichael Gove, the Conservative justice secretary, on Sky News during the campaign. The line was widely seen as defining the Leave campaign's stance toward experts.
  • GrievingConsumerJun 2016
    Jo would have wanted two things above all else to happen now: one is that our precious children are bathed in love, and two is that we all unite to fight against the hatred that killed her.
    Brendan Cox, widower of MP Jo CoxBrendan Cox, husband of murdered Labour MP Jo Cox, speaking to the BBC four days after her killing. Her death paused the campaign.

Captured before it changed

The web as it looked, the day it happened.

Wayback Machine snapshots of the pages people actually loaded that day. Click any card to open the archive at full size.

Where, exactly

4 sites

Loading map…
  • Westminster, London
    Cameron resigned at 08:18 BST from a podium outside 10 Downing Street.
    51.507°, -0.128°
  • Edinburgh, Scotland
    Voted 62% Remain. Sturgeon called for a second independence referendum within hours of the result.
    55.953°, -3.188°
  • Belfast, Northern Ireland
    Voted 55.8% Remain. The Northern Ireland Protocol problem starts here.
    54.597°, -5.930°
  • European Commission, Brussels
    Juncker's response: 'Leave means leave.' Negotiations would not begin until Article 50 was triggered.
    50.850°, 4.352°

The world it landed in

What was on the radio, the screen, and everyone's mind.

On the charts
  • Don't Look Back in Anger Oasis

    Sung spontaneously at the Manchester Arena bombing memorial a year later; widely heard as a post-Brexit anthem of British civic unity.

  • Black Star David Bowie

    Released January 8, 2016 — Bowie's posthumous album. The year's other defining cultural marker.

At the cinema
  • I, Daniel Blake (2016)

    Ken Loach's Palme d'Or-winning film about UK welfare bureaucracy. Released two months after the vote; widely read as portraying the same towns that voted Leave.

  • Brexit: The Uncivil War (2019)

    Channel 4 / HBO TV film starring Benedict Cumberbatch as Vote Leave's Dominic Cummings. The first major cinematic account.

On TV
  • Question Time (BBC)

    The campaign's most-watched political panel show. Three Brexit specials drew the highest non-final audience figures of the year.

Same week, elsewhere

June 2016 was when the post-1990s liberal consensus visibly cracked in a Western democracy for the first time. The Trump election followed in November. Brexit and Trumpism were repeatedly conflated by international commentators; the on-the-ground politics were different but the cultural fault lines mapped.

Then & now

The world the event landed in vs. the one it left behind.

UK GDP (relative to OECD pre-vote forecast)

On trend (June 2016)

2016

≈5% below the pre-vote forecast trend

2024

OBR + ONS estimates, mid-range of published academic studies.

GBP/USD

1.488 (close, June 23, 2016)

2016

≈1.27 (2024 avg)

2024

Sterling fell 8% in the 24 hours after the vote and has not recovered the pre-vote level.

Net annual migration to the UK

335,000 (2016)

2016

685,000 (2023)

2023

EU migration fell sharply; non-EU migration more than offset it.

UK MEPs in European Parliament

73

2016

0 (UK left Jan 31, 2020)

2024

Northern Ireland's status

Full EU member via UK; soft border with the Republic of Ireland

2016

In the EU single market for goods (Windsor Framework); checks on UK→NI trade

2024

Impact

What followed.

Brexit removed the UK from the single market and customs union it had helped design over forty-seven years. The 2016 question — 'Should the UK remain a member of the EU or leave the EU?' — produced a binary answer; the implementation produced four years of negotiation, a constitutional crisis, two new prime ministers, and a still-unresolved Northern Ireland question. Economic effects estimated by the OBR + most academic studies in the range of −4% to −6% of GDP by 2024. The political effects — the realignment of the Conservative coalition around Leave voters, the collapse of Labour's Red Wall, the renewed momentum for Scottish independence — are still unfolding.

Threads pulled by this event

  1. 2016

    Cameron resigns; Theresa May becomes PM

    Cameron resigns within hours. May, a quiet Remainer, becomes PM on July 13. 'Brexit means Brexit.'

  2. 2017

    Article 50 triggered

    March 29, 2017. Two-year withdrawal clock starts. The UK's negotiating position turns out to be weaker than expected.

  3. 2019

    Withdrawal Agreement reached, rejected, reached again

    May's deal rejected three times by Parliament. May resigns. Johnson renegotiates the Northern Ireland Protocol; his deal passes after the December 2019 election.

  4. 2020

    UK formally leaves the EU

    January 31, 2020, 23:00 GMT. First country ever to leave. Transition period runs through December 31, 2020.

  5. 2021

    Northern Ireland Protocol becomes a chronic crisis

    Customs checks on goods moving from Great Britain to Northern Ireland fuel ongoing unionist anger. The Windsor Framework (2023) modifies but does not resolve the underlying problem.

  6. 2021

    EU citizens' UK residence rights

    Settled Status scheme grants residence to ~6 million EU citizens. Free movement ends; UK adopts a points-based immigration system.

  7. 2023

    Scotland renews push for independence

    UK Supreme Court rules in November 2022 that the Scottish Parliament cannot unilaterally call a referendum. The political question remains live.

Sources

Where this came from.

Every claim on this page traces to a public, license-clean source. We don't asterisk well.

Electoral Commission

1 source

GDELT

1 source

Hacker News

1 source

House of Commons Library

1 source

Internet Archive

1 source

Library of Congress

1 source

Wikimedia Commons

1 source

Classification

How this recap is placed in the corpus graph.

  • DomainPolitical
  • TypeReferendum
  • ClassGovernance
  • ClassTransformation
  • Impactregional
  • Velocitysudden
  • Phasetransition

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